October 13, 2023
You love watching football, and you’ve always thought you had a knack for predicting the winners.
So, why not make a few bucks while enjoying the game?
Sports betting has exploded in popularity, and placing a wager on your favorite team is easier than ever. However, before you deposit your life savings into your new online sportsbook account, you need to identify the best betting strategy for football that works for you.
Betting on football isn’t as simple as picking the team with the fanciest uniforms or sticking to your lifelong loyalty to the local underdogs. If you want to make money from betting, you must approach it like a pro.
This guide outlines the best betting strategies we use at Elite Pickz to beat the odds and fatten our clients’ wallets. At the end of this read, you’ll be armed with everything you need to know about football betting strategies — from money management techniques to the intricacies of point spreads. The season is here, so prepare to cash in on all the action.
In a nutshell, here are eight solid betting strategies for football that can help you beat the odds:
You must know the teams inside and out to bet on football successfully. At Elite Pickz we do the research and understand how teams match up against each other, how they perform against the spread and totals, recent trends, coaching styles, key players, and more. The more you know, the better your chances of spotting value bets and making more intelligent wagers.
Here are six key things to consider for each team:
The more factors you can analyze for each team, the better you can develop the best betting system for football and your chances of making winning bets. Do your homework and get to know the teams inside out — your bank account will thank you for it!
You need to dive into the details to gain an edge in betting on football. Analyze matchups, stats, and trends to uncover opportunities the oddsmakers may have missed.
Dig into team and player stats. Yards per game, points allowed, sacks, interceptions, completion percentage, and yards per carry provide insight into strengths and weaknesses. Look for teams that excel in key areas like third-down conversions, red zone scoring, or time of possession.
Players to watch include quarterbacks, running backs, and top receivers — see who’s hot and who’s not. A quarterback with a completion percentage over 65% and more touchdowns than interceptions is probably a good bet. Similarly, a running back averaging over 4 yards per carry could have a big day.
Also, check trends like how teams perform against the spread after a win or loss. Some teams struggle the week after a big victory; others bounce back strong following a defeat. Look at divisional matchups where one team has dominated. Fading the public perception can also help join the list of professional sports bettors.
The oddsmakers don’t have time to analyze every detail of every game; do your homework, and you’ll uncover the best betting systems for football in these loopholes. You’ll gain an advantage with the correct stats and matchups and beat the odds of betting on football. However, if you need help picking the correct odds, our team of professional cappers can provide you with profitable sports betting takes when you join our Discord channel.
Don’t just put your money on the favorites when betting on football. Some of the best value bets come from underdogs that have a solid chance of pulling off an upset. Focusing on value means looking for bets where the odds don’t correctly reflect a team’s chances of winning.
Here are four tips to help you locate value bets in football:
With some research, you can sniff out undervalued underdogs each week and develop the best football system for betting. When you find a promising team at good odds, pounce on that value bet. Throughout a season, focusing on value will put the odds in your favor.
Everyone loves a good underdog story, and with parlays and teasers, you can develop the best football betting strategies. These types of bets allow you to manipulate the point spread in your favor to increase the payout. The trade-off is that all legs of the parlay or teaser have to win for you to get paid. But when they do hit, the rewards can be huge.
A parlay involves betting on two or more wagers, called “legs,” and linking them together. All legs must win for the parlay to be a winner.
Parlays allow you to bet a little to win a lot. Even betting small amounts, a successful 3- or 4-team parlay payout can turn $20 into $100 or more. The more teams you add, the higher the payout.
A teaser is similar to a parlay but gives you an advantage by allowing you to adjust the point spread in your favor. For example, if there are two favorites you want to bet on but you think the spreads are too high, you can use a 6-point teaser to reduce each spread by 6 points. Now those favorites become even bigger favorites, increasing your chance of winning. Like parlays, all legs of a teaser must win for you to get paid.
When constructing a parlay or teaser, consider these five tips:
Parlays and teasers add excitement to NFL betting and an opportunity for huge payouts. With some intelligent strategizing, these bets can lead to big rewards for your bankroll. Ultimately, we would recommend singles. Parlays are much more for entertainment. Still, only bet what you can afford to lose, as the odds will always be against you. At ElitePickz, we’re dedicated to providing you with the most profitable takes on parlays and teasers, and our customer reviews testify to our long history of winning.
You must know the teams inside and out to build the best football betting strategy. Do your homework on research injuries, roster changes, and other factors influencing a team’s performance.
Here are four tips to aid your research:
The more you know about the teams, players, stats, and trends, the more informed your bets will be. While there’s always an element of luck, thorough research and analysis will increase your odds of betting success over the long run. Stay on top of all the details each week, and you’ll gain an edge that most casual bettors lack.
When betting on NFL games, look for trends that can give you an edge and help you profit from sports betting. The line makers set the odds to get equal betting on both sides, so spotting trends can reveal value bets and help develop the best football betting systems.
Here are five key trends to watch:
Teams on winning or losing streaks often continue their momentum. Consider the team’s performance over their last 3–4 games.
Are they covering the spread?
Are they winning convincingly or barely getting by?
Are they riding high or struggling?
Past performance can point to future results.
Some teams dominate at home but struggle on the road; others have a strong record within their division. Check each team’s home vs. away and divisional win/loss records over the past few seasons to see if there are meaningful differences you can exploit. Home underdogs, for example, often have value, and betting on them can be one of the best betting strategies for sports.
Sometimes, bookmakers tend to mismatch points for some teams. Maybe the team’s offense perfectly counters the opponent’s defense or their coaching staff knows how to neutralize the opponent. Look for lopsided results in the teams’ recent matchups and consider betting on the trend. Mismatch-ups often continue from season to season until there are significant changes.
Late-week injuries to star players or impactful personnel changes can sometimes swing the lines and odds in your favor. For example, if a team’s top wide receiver or running back is out, the opposing defense can focus elsewhere. Monitor injury reports and transactions until kickoff to spot these potential advantages. The line makers can’t always fully account for last-minute changes.
Teams fighting for a playoff spot or playing in a primetime game often rise to the occasion. They have extra motivation to put on a show for a national audience or keep their postseason hopes alive — consider betting on the team with the most at stake. Playoff implications late in the season can create extra value.
Looking at trends like these can uncover the best NFL betting strategy with a higher chance of success. While upsets always happen, playing the percentages by spotting advantageous trends will often win. With research and keen observation, you’ll be well on your way to betting like a pro.
Sign up with Elite Pickz today to start receiving tips from our team of profitable sports bettors. We have a record of providing calculated betting takes that can help flip the odds in your favor. In this article, we analyzed how our team won $87,000 from sports betting last year.
When betting on football, don’t forget about the underdogs, especially home underdogs and divisional underdogs. These types of bets can offer a lot of value if you do your research.
Home underdogs often get overlooked by casual bettors and the public in general. The home team is expected to have the crowd behind them, familiar surroundings, and travel advantages over their opponent.
While the favorites should win more often, home underdogs frequently cover the spread and even win outright. Pay attention to teams with a motivated fan base that will show up and be loud.
Divisional underdogs are also worth considering — teams in the same division often play and are very familiar with one another. Even if there’s a talent gap, the underdog has a good chance of keeping the game close or pulling off an upset because they match up well against their opponent. Rivalry games, in particular, tend to be hard-fought so that the underdog could be extra motivated.
When evaluating home underdogs or divisional underdogs, look for specific situations that may give them an edge, including the following:
You never know when David will slay Goliath, so don’t just bet favorites every week in the NFL. You can gain an advantage over the public by identifying choice spots to back motivated home underdogs and divisional dogs and beat the oddsmakers. With research and keen insight, these types of bets can help you become profitable over the long run.
To be a successful football bettor, you need to go in with a strategy and stick to it. One of the most essential betting strategies for football is managing your money and setting a budget.
Here are four tips to help you manage your finances when betting on football:
Following these tips for managing your money and budgeting properly can be the difference between a profitable season of betting on football and going broke within a few weeks. Bet responsibly by setting a bankroll, sticking to a fixed betting amount, avoiding reckless losses, and taking breaks when needed. And if you would instead follow the leads of an experienced team with a profitable betting history, join our discord channel; your bank account will thank you for it!
There isn’t a single most successful betting strategy that guarantees consistent wins. The effectiveness of a betting strategy depends on various factors, including the type of game or sport you’re betting on, your risk tolerance, and the odds involved. It’s essential to carefully research, analyze, and tailor your strategy based on these factors to improve your chances of success.
The term “1.50 odds strategy” or “-200 odds Strategy” refers to a betting strategy where a bettor focuses on selecting bets with odds of 1.50 (-200) or higher. This strategy seeks out bets with a higher likelihood of winning, as odds of 1.50 (-200) imply a higher probability of success. However, it’s important to note that betting strategies shouldn’t be solely based on odds alone; factors such as research, analysis, and understanding of the sport or game being bet on should also be considered for a well-rounded approach to betting.
This guide has armed you with all you need to develop the best betting strategy for football that works for you. The key is finding value, managing money, and researching. Don’t just blindly pick favorites or go with your gut; look for underdogs that have a shot to win and get a feel for how teams match up against each other. Also, keep track of your wins and losses to understand what’s working and adjust as needed.
If you take the time to understand football and how to read the odds, you’ll be well on your way to building a winning strategy and fattening your wallet. You might make just enough to buy a round at your favorite sports bar. However, we understand getting started can be challenging, so we suggest you join our Discord channel to bet on winning games from professional cappers. We promise to give you an extra month for free if you don’t recover your initial investment in the first month — sign up with us now!